The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lyon | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 4 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPTS | 9.2 | 6.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.8 | +3.9 |
| xG per match | 1.99 | 1.48 |
| xGA per match | 1.18 | 1.78 |
| Scored | 10 | 8 |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
By quality of play Lyon is ahead: 9.2 xPTS against 6.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Lyon: +1.8, Lille: +3.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lyon — 7.9, Lille — 5.7.