The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Monaco | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 4 |
| Points | 13 | 10 |
| xPTS | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.2 | +3.9 |
| xG per match | 1.23 | 1.48 |
| xGA per match | 1.32 | 1.78 |
| Scored | 8 | 8 |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
By quality of play they are level: 6.8 xPTS against 6.1. The gap between points and play — Monaco: +6.2, Lille: +3.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Monaco — 6.0, Lille — 5.7.