The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Akron Tolyatti | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 9.7 | 7.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.7 | −0.9 |
| xG per match | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| xGA per match | 1.34 | 1.76 |
| Scored | 11 | 8 |
| Conceded | 18 | 11 |
By quality of play Akron Tolyatti is ahead: 9.7 xPTS against 7.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Akron Tolyatti: −1.7, Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Akron Tolyatti — 3.9, Lokomotiv Moscow — 5.0.