The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Krasnodar | Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 6 |
| Points | 21 | 12 |
| xPTS | 13.6 | 10.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +7.4 | +1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.28 | 0.99 |
| xGA per match | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| Scored | 14 | 12 |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
By quality of play Krasnodar is ahead: 13.6 xPTS against 10.3. In the table the gap is 9 points. The gap between points and play — Krasnodar: +7.4, Rubin Kazan: +1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Krasnodar — 8.2, Rubin Kazan — 5.7.