The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Krasnodar | Zenit | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 5 |
| Points | 21 | 18 |
| xPTS | 13.6 | 15.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +7.4 | +2.9 |
| xG per match | 1.28 | 1.44 |
| xGA per match | 1.03 | 1 |
| Scored | 14 | 19 |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
By quality of play Zenit is ahead: 15.1 xPTS against 13.6. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Krasnodar: +7.4, Zenit: +2.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Krasnodar — 8.2, Zenit — 8.5.