The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Rodina Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 7 | 5 |
| xPTS | 7.9 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.9 | −0.1 |
| xG per match | 1.05 | 0.77 |
| xGA per match | 1.76 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 8 | 10 |
| Conceded | 11 | 22 |
By quality of play Lokomotiv Moscow is ahead: 7.9 xPTS against 5.2. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9, Rodina Moscow: −0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lokomotiv Moscow — 5.0, Rodina Moscow — 2.6.