The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Spartak Moscow | Zenit | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 5 |
| Points | 19 | 18 |
| xPTS | 18.3 | 15.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.7 | +2.9 |
| xG per match | 1.72 | 1.44 |
| xGA per match | 0.68 | 1 |
| Scored | 16 | 19 |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
By quality of play Spartak Moscow is ahead: 18.3 xPTS against 15.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Spartak Moscow: +0.7, Zenit: +2.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Spartak Moscow — 10.8, Zenit — 8.5.