The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Inter | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 5 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 11.1 | 8.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.9 | +2.1 |
| xG per match | 3.11 | 1.94 |
| xGA per match | 1.49 | 1.18 |
| Scored | 15 | 10 |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
By quality of play Inter is ahead: 11.1 xPTS against 8.9. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Inter: +1.9, AC Milan: +2.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Inter — 11.0, AC Milan — 9.4.