The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Inter | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 13 | 10 |
| xPTS | 11.1 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.9 | +4.8 |
| xG per match | 3.11 | 1.62 |
| xGA per match | 1.49 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 15 | 9 |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
By quality of play Inter is ahead: 11.1 xPTS against 5.2. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Inter: +1.9, Frosinone: +4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Inter — 11.0, Frosinone — 7.6.