The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Roma | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 6 |
| Points | 13 | 10 |
| xPTS | 12.4 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.6 | +4.8 |
| xG per match | 3.22 | 1.62 |
| xGA per match | 1.11 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 14 | 9 |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
By quality of play Roma is ahead: 12.4 xPTS against 5.2. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Roma: +0.6, Frosinone: +4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Roma — 12.0, Frosinone — 7.6.