The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Torino | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 5 | 3.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.0 | +0.6 |
| xG per match | 1.01 | 0.85 |
| xGA per match | 1.54 | 1.96 |
| Scored | 5 | 4 |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 |
By quality of play Torino is ahead: 5.0 xPTS against 3.4. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Torino: −1.0, Parma: +0.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Torino — 5.9, Parma — 4.2.