The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Borussia Dortmund was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 3.15 | −0.1 | 2.80 |
| Paderborn | 0 | 0.31 | −0.3 | 0.12 |
Borussia Dortmund: +3.9 for the season (1 in the table). Paderborn: +1.1 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.