Borussia Dortmund — Paderborn 3:0

Borussia Dortmund

3:0

Paderborn

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Borussia Dortmund was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Borussia Dortmund	3	3.15	−0.1	2.81
Paderborn	0	0.31	−0.3	0.12

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
4'	Fabio Silva	Borussia Dortmund	0.28	Serhou Guirassy
79'	Felix Nmecha	Borussia Dortmund	0.45	Maximilian Beier
88'	Felix Nmecha	Borussia Dortmund	0.13	Marcel Sabitzer

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
79'	Felix Nmecha	Borussia Dortmund	0.45	goal
51'	Serhou Guirassy	Borussia Dortmund	0.42	saved, header
61'	Serhou Guirassy	Borussia Dortmund	0.39	saved

Shots: Borussia Dortmund 14, Paderborn 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 6 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Borussia Dortmund 0.40, Paderborn 0.24: about even. In the second half xG was Borussia Dortmund 2.75, Paderborn 0.06: a big edge for Borussia Dortmund.

How it fits the season

Borussia Dortmund: +5.3 for the season (2 in the table). Paderborn: +0.6 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Freiburg — Borussia Mönchengladbach 5:0Hoffenheim — VfB Stuttgart 2:1Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3Augsburg — Bayer Leverkusen 2:21. FC Köln — Werder Bremen 1:1

All Bundesliga matches with xG →