The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Freiburg was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 5 | 2.15 | +2.9 | 2.60 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0.27 | −0.3 | 0.26 |
Freiburg: +1.2 for the season (3 in the table). Borussia Mönchengladbach: −2.8 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.