The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Bayer Leverkusen created more (1.89 xG against 0.84) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | 2 | 0.84 | +1.2 | 0.70 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 1.89 | +0.1 | 2.08 |
Augsburg: +2.4 for the season (4 in the table). Bayer Leverkusen: −2.6 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.