Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3

Mainz 05

1:3

Eintracht Frankfurt

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Mainz 05 created more (2.24 xG against 2.16) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Mainz 05	1	2.24	−1.2	1.45
Eintracht Frankfurt	3	2.16	+0.8	1.36

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
8'	Can Uzun	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.65	Jonathan Burkardt
45'	Jonathan Burkardt	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.32	Jeremiaha Maluze
59'	Can Uzun	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.63	Mario Götze
88'	Phillip Tietz	Mainz 05	0.06	Otto Ruoppi

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
8'	Can Uzun	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.65	goal
59'	Can Uzun	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.63	goal
42'	Phillip Tietz	Mainz 05	0.57	off target, from a set piece

Shots: Mainz 05 18, Eintracht Frankfurt 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Mainz 05 1.67, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.30: a small edge for Mainz 05. In the second half xG was Mainz 05 1.03, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.88: about even. Mainz 05 scored 1 from 2.24 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Mainz 05: −4.8 for the season (12 in the table). Eintracht Frankfurt: +0.9 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Freiburg — Borussia Mönchengladbach 5:0Hoffenheim — VfB Stuttgart 2:1Augsburg — Bayer Leverkusen 2:2Borussia Dortmund — Paderborn 3:01. FC Köln — Werder Bremen 1:1

All Bundesliga matches with xG →