The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Mainz 05 created more (2.24 xG against 2.16) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 | 1 | 2.24 | −1.2 | 1.45 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2.16 | +0.8 | 1.36 |
Mainz 05: −1.0 for the season (6 in the table). Eintracht Frankfurt: −0.5 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.