1. FC Köln — Werder Bremen 1:1

1. FC Köln

1:1

Werder Bremen

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.43.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
1. FC Köln	1	1.61	−0.6	1.67
Werder Bremen	1	1.18	−0.2	1.09

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
10'	Linton Maina	1. FC Köln	0.06	Ellyes Skhiri
68'	Niclas Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	0.51

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
68'	Niclas Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	0.51	goal, from a corner
18'	Eren Sami Dinkci	Werder Bremen	0.13	off target
56'	Thijs Dallinga	1. FC Köln	0.12	blocked, from a set piece

Shots: 1. FC Köln 15, Werder Bremen 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was 1. FC Köln 1.04, Werder Bremen 0.31: a small edge for 1. FC Köln. In the second half xG was 1. FC Köln 0.58, Werder Bremen 0.91: a small edge for Werder Bremen. The edge in chances passed from 1. FC Köln to Werder Bremen.

How it fits the season

1. FC Köln: −5.0 for the season (15 in the table). Werder Bremen: +2.6 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Freiburg — Borussia Mönchengladbach 5:0Hoffenheim — VfB Stuttgart 2:1Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3Augsburg — Bayer Leverkusen 2:2Borussia Dortmund — Paderborn 3:0

All Bundesliga matches with xG →