Eintracht Frankfurt — Augsburg 1:4
Eintracht Frankfurt
AugsburgThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
Augsburg won against the run of chances: Eintracht Frankfurt created more (2.51 xG against 1.45).
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 2.51 | −1.5 | 2.00 |
| Augsburg | 4 | 1.45 | +2.5 | 0.81 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5' | Jonathan Burkardt | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.41 | Younes Ebnoutalib |
| 45' | Elias Baum (own goal) | Augsburg | — | |
| 46' | Robin Fellhauer | Augsburg | 0.60 | |
| 64' | Alexis Claude Maurice | Augsburg | 0.07 | Han-Noah Massengo |
| 88' | Fabian Rieder | Augsburg | 0.07 |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46' | Robin Fellhauer | Augsburg | 0.60 | goal |
| 5' | Jonathan Burkardt | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.41 | goal, header |
| 38' | Younes Ebnoutalib | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.33 | saved |
Shots: Eintracht Frankfurt 22, Augsburg 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Eintracht Frankfurt 1.83, Augsburg 0.21: a big edge for Eintracht Frankfurt. In the second half xG was Eintracht Frankfurt 0.68, Augsburg 1.30: a small edge for Augsburg. The edge in chances passed from Eintracht Frankfurt to Augsburg. Eintracht Frankfurt scored 1 from 2.51 xG: fewer than they created. Augsburg scored 4 from 1.45 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Eintracht Frankfurt: +0.9 for the season (10 in the table). Augsburg: −1.9 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Hamburger SV — 
Mainz 05 0:5