The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Augsburg won against the run of chances: Eintracht Frankfurt created more (2.51 xG against 1.45).
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 2.51 | −1.5 | 2.00 |
| Augsburg | 4 | 1.45 | +2.5 | 0.81 |
Eintracht Frankfurt: −0.5 for the season (10 in the table). Augsburg: +2.4 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.