The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 41% home, 19% draw, 40% away. Attack against defence: Hoffenheim should create more, 2.33 expected goals a match against 2.07. Hoffenheim are 3.6 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13 | 5 | 5 | 5.8 | −0.8 | 2.17 | 2.73 |
| Hoffenheim | 17 | 5 | 3 | 6.6 | −3.6 | 1.93 | 1.97 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.
All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table →