The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 39% home, 19% draw, 42% away. Attack against defence: VfB Stuttgart should create more, 2.26 expected goals a match against 2.10.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4.6 | +0.4 | 1.39 | 2.38 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 11 | 5 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 | 2.14 | 2.82 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.
All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table →