The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Bayer Leverkusen are favourites: 85% to win against 4%. Attack against defence: Bayer Leverkusen should create more, 2.29 expected goals a match against 1.08.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11.1 | −1.1 | 2.55 | 1.12 |
| Paderborn | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4.0 | −0.0 | 1.03 | 2.03 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.
All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table →