Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim 2:0

Werder Bremen

2:0

Hoffenheim

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Werder Bremen was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Werder Bremen	2	1.26	+0.7	1.42
Hoffenheim	0	1.18	−1.2	1.31

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
56'	Niclas Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	0.19	Karl Hein
81'	Eren Sami Dinkci	Werder Bremen	0.12	Marco Grüll

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
70'	Fisnik Asllani	Hoffenheim	0.49	off target, header
56'	Niclas Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	0.19	goal
2'	Ludovit Reis	Werder Bremen	0.13	off target

Shots: Werder Bremen 18, Hoffenheim 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Werder Bremen 0.31, Hoffenheim 0.48: about even. In the second half xG was Werder Bremen 0.94, Hoffenheim 0.69: about even. Hoffenheim scored 0 from 1.18 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Werder Bremen: +2.6 for the season (6 in the table). Hoffenheim: −2.3 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Augsburg — Freiburg 1:2Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig 0:2Borussia Mönchengladbach — Paderborn 0:0Bayer Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart 2:4Bayern Munich — Borussia Dortmund 2:2

All Bundesliga matches with xG →