Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig 0:2

Schalke 04

0:2

RB Leipzig

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: RB Leipzig was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Schalke 04	0	0.46	−0.5	0.10
RB Leipzig	2	3.85	−1.9	2.85

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
36'	Antonio Nusa (penalty)	RB Leipzig	0.76
77'	Rômulo	RB Leipzig	0.41	Antonio Nusa

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
14'	Rômulo	RB Leipzig	0.79	off target, header
87'	Tidiam Gomis	RB Leipzig	0.51	saved
77'	Rômulo	RB Leipzig	0.41	goal

Shots: Schalke 04 6, RB Leipzig 18; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 6.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Schalke 04 0.41, RB Leipzig 1.83: a clear edge for RB Leipzig. In the second half xG was Schalke 04 0.06, RB Leipzig 2.16: a big edge for RB Leipzig. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. RB Leipzig scored 2 from 3.85 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Schalke 04: −1.6 for the season (17 in the table). RB Leipzig: +0.6 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Augsburg — Freiburg 1:2Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim 2:0Borussia Mönchengladbach — Paderborn 0:0Bayer Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart 2:4Bayern Munich — Borussia Dortmund 2:2

All Bundesliga matches with xG →