The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Sunderland created more (2.15 xG against 1.59) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 1 | 1.59 | −0.6 | 1.06 |
| Sunderland | 1 | 2.15 | −1.1 | 1.73 |
Brentford: +0.6 for the season (4 in the table). Sunderland: −3.7 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.