Nottingham Forest
Tottenham HotspurThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Tottenham Hotspur created more (1.48 xG against 0.83) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 | −0.8 | 0.90 | |
| 0 | 1.48 | −1.5 | 1.84 |
There were no goals in this match.
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54' | Micky van de Ven | 0.63 | off target, header, from a corner | |
| 16' | Omar Marmoush | 0.34 | off target | |
| 64' | Morgan Gibbs-White | 0.29 | blocked |
Shots: Nottingham Forest 12, Tottenham Hotspur 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.
In the first half xG was Nottingham Forest 0.39, Tottenham Hotspur 0.42: about even. In the second half xG was Nottingham Forest 0.44, Tottenham Hotspur 1.07: a small edge for Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur scored 0 from 1.48 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Nottingham Forest: −8.6 for the season (16 in the table). Tottenham Hotspur: −2.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.