Pitch Radar

Nottingham Forest — Tottenham Hotspur 0:0

Nottingham Forest
0:0
Tottenham Hotspur
EPL · 5 Sep 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score0:0
Home xG0.83Nottingham Forest
Away xG1.48Tottenham Hotspur
Expected points0.90 : 1.84

Who deserved it

A draw, but Tottenham Hotspur created more (1.48 xG against 0.83) — points dropped.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Nottingham Forest00.83−0.80.90
Tottenham Hotspur01.48−1.51.84

Goals

There were no goals in this match.

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
54'Micky van de VenTottenham Hotspur0.63off target, header, from a corner
16'Omar MarmoushTottenham Hotspur0.34off target
64'Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest0.29blocked

Shots: Nottingham Forest 12, Tottenham Hotspur 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Nottingham Forest 0.39, Tottenham Hotspur 0.42: about even. In the second half xG was Nottingham Forest 0.44, Tottenham Hotspur 1.07: a small edge for Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur scored 0 from 1.48 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Nottingham Forest: −8.6 for the season (16 in the table). Tottenham Hotspur: −2.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All EPL matches with xG →