Manchester City — Coventry City 1:0

Manchester City

1:0

Coventry City

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Manchester City was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Manchester City	1	2.19	−1.2	1.81
Coventry City	0	1.49	−1.5	0.98

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
25'	Erling Haaland	Manchester City	0.37	Antoine Semenyo

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
77'	Phil Foden	Manchester City	0.63	blocked
79'	Ellis Simms	Coventry City	0.49	saved
23'	Jack Rudoni	Coventry City	0.44	saved, header

Shots: Manchester City 15, Coventry City 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Manchester City 1.27, Coventry City 0.82: a small edge for Manchester City. In the second half xG was Manchester City 0.94, Coventry City 0.68: about even. Manchester City scored 1 from 2.19 xG: fewer than they created. Coventry City scored 0 from 1.49 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Manchester City: +0.1 for the season (3 in the table). Coventry City: −0.8 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Newcastle United — Bournemouth 2:2Nottingham Forest — Tottenham Hotspur 0:0Fulham — Crystal Palace 2:3Brentford — Sunderland 1:1Brighton — Leeds United 1:1Hull City — Aston Villa 0:0

All EPL matches with xG →