The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Manchester City was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 1 | 2.19 | −1.2 | 1.81 |
| Coventry City | 0 | 1.49 | −1.5 | 0.99 |
Manchester City: +5.4 for the season (1 in the table). Coventry City: −1.6 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.