Hull City — Aston Villa 0:0

Hull City

0:0

Aston Villa

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Aston Villa created more (1.64 xG against 0.81) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Hull City	0	0.81	−0.8	0.80
Aston Villa	0	1.64	−1.6	1.96

Goals

There were no goals in this match.

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
49'	John McGinn	Aston Villa	0.46	off target
52'	Emiliano Buendía	Aston Villa	0.40	off target
88'	Mohamed Ali-Cho	Hull City	0.32	saved

Shots: Hull City 11, Aston Villa 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Hull City 0.07, Aston Villa 0.61: a small edge for Aston Villa. In the second half xG was Hull City 0.73, Aston Villa 1.04: a small edge for Aston Villa. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Aston Villa scored 0 from 1.64 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Hull City: +2.0 for the season (13 in the table). Aston Villa: +2.5 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Newcastle United — Bournemouth 2:2Manchester City — Coventry City 1:0Nottingham Forest — Tottenham Hotspur 0:0Fulham — Crystal Palace 2:3Brentford — Sunderland 1:1Brighton — Leeds United 1:1

All EPL matches with xG →