The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Bournemouth created more (1.64 xG against 0.77) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 2 | 0.77 | +1.2 | 0.77 |
| Bournemouth | 2 | 1.64 | +0.4 | 1.99 |
Newcastle United: +3.7 for the season (9 in the table). Bournemouth: −4.8 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.