Newcastle United — Bournemouth 2:2
Newcastle United
BournemouthThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
A draw, but Bournemouth created more (1.64 xG against 0.77) — points dropped.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 2 | 0.77 | +1.2 | 0.77 |
| Bournemouth | 2 | 1.64 | +0.4 | 1.99 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8' | Marcus Tavernier | Bournemouth | 0.63 | |
| 34' | Malick Thiaw (own goal) | Bournemouth | — | |
| 36' | Harvey Barnes | Newcastle United | 0.02 | Lewis Hall |
| 87' | Jacob Ramsey | Newcastle United | 0.06 |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8' | Marcus Tavernier | Bournemouth | 0.63 | goal |
| 51' | Joe Willock | Newcastle United | 0.42 | off target, header |
| 11' | Evanilson | Bournemouth | 0.38 | off target |
Shots: Newcastle United 8, Bournemouth 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Newcastle United 0.15, Bournemouth 1.47: a clear edge for Bournemouth. In the second half xG was Newcastle United 0.63, Bournemouth 0.20: a small edge for Newcastle United. The edge in chances passed from Bournemouth to Newcastle United. Newcastle United scored 2 from 0.77 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Newcastle United: +2.1 for the season (12 in the table). Bournemouth: −3.6 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Manchester City — 
Coventry City 1:0
Nottingham Forest — 
Tottenham Hotspur 0:0
Fulham — 
Crystal Palace 2:3
Brentford — 
Sunderland 1:1
Brighton — 
Leeds United 1:1
Hull City — 
Aston Villa 0:0