The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Fulham created more (2.88 xG against 2.36) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 2 | 2.88 | −0.9 | 1.67 |
| Crystal Palace | 3 | 2.36 | +0.6 | 1.15 |
Fulham: −3.1 for the season (19 in the table). Crystal Palace: −1.4 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.