The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 41% home, 23% draw, 36% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.71 and 1.72 expected goals a match.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | 14 | 6 | 6 | 5.5 | +0.5 | 1.11 | 1.80 |
| Crystal Palace | 12 | 6 | 7 | 6.0 | +1.0 | 1.64 | 2.30 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.