Deportivo La Coruña vs Real Madrid: match prediction
Deportivo La CoruñaVS
Real MadridThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win19%Deportivo La Coruña
Draw22%
Away win59%Real Madrid
Expected points, home0.80
What to expect
Real Madrid are favourites: 59% to win against 19%. Attack against defence: Real Madrid should create more, 1.96 expected goals a match against 1.23. Read the table with care: Real Madrid have taken 2.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | 9 | 12 | 15 | 16.5 | −1.5 | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Real Madrid | 2 | 12 | 30 | 27.7 | +2.3 | 2.55 | 1.01 |
Recent matches
Espanyol — Deportivo La Coruna 0:0Deportivo La Coruna — 
Osasuna 2:1
Atletico Madrid — Deportivo La Coruna 1:0Deportivo La Coruna — 
Levante 1:1
Real Sociedad — Deportivo La Coruna 3:2
Valencia — Real Madrid 0:3
Racing Santander — Real Madrid 0:3
Barcelona — Real Madrid 1:2Real Madrid — 
Sevilla 4:1Real Madrid — 
Villarreal 1:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions