Pitch Radar

Levante vs Elche: what the numbers say

LaLiga · Round 13 · 22 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win48%Levante
Draw21%
Away win31%Elche
Expected points, home1.66

What to expect

A slight edge to Levante: 48% against 31%. Attack against defence: level, 1.75 and 1.79 expected goals a match. Elche are 3.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Levante17877.7−0.71.492.25
Elche18869.1−3.11.322.02

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table →