Nice vs Lens: match prediction

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

A slight edge to Lens: 44% against 34%. Attack against defence: Lens should create more, 1.83 expected goals a match against 1.53. Read the table with care: Nice have taken 5.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions