The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Lens are favourites: 72% to win against 14%. Attack against defence: Lens should create more, 2.15 expected goals a match against 1.64. Read the table with care: Marseille have taken 2.2 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions