Pitch Radar

Paris FC vs Angers: what the numbers say

Ligue 1 · Round 11 · 21 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win76%Paris FC
Draw16%
Away win7%Angers
Expected points, home2.45

What to expect

Paris FC are favourites: 76% to win against 7%. Attack against defence: Paris FC should create more, 1.82 expected goals a match against 1.11. Paris FC are 1.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Paris FC461112.8−1.81.720.63
Angers11677.5−0.51.591.93

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →