Akhmat Grozny vs Akron Tolyatti: match prediction
Akhmat GroznyVS
Akron TolyattiThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win48%Akhmat Grozny
Draw30%
Away win22%Akron Tolyatti
Expected points, home1.74
What to expect
A slight edge to Akhmat Grozny: 48% against 22%. Attack against defence: Akhmat Grozny should create more, 1.19 expected goals a match against 1.02. Akhmat Grozny are 4.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14 | 14 | 18.1 | −4.1 | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14.6 | −2.6 | 0.93 | 1.34 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Akron 2:0 FK Akhmat (2026-09-17).
Recent matches
FK Akhmat — 
Rodina 1:0
Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat 2:0FK Akhmat — 
FC Orenburg 0:1
Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Akhmat 3:2FK Akhmat — 
Baltika 0:0
Spartak Moscow — Akron 2:1Baltika — Akron 2:1Akron — Dinamo Moscow 3:1
Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron 1:1
FC Rostov — Akron 1:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions