Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan: match prediction
Akhmat GroznyVS
Rubin KazanThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win46%Akhmat Grozny
Draw31%
Away win23%Rubin Kazan
Expected points, home1.69
What to expect
A slight edge to Akhmat Grozny: 46% against 23%. Attack against defence: level, 1.15 and 1.02 expected goals a match. Akhmat Grozny are 4.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14 | 14 | 18.1 | −4.1 | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Rubin Kazan | 8 | 14 | 18 | 15.9 | +2.1 | 0.92 | 1.26 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Rubin Kazan 1:1 FK Akhmat (2026-09-07).
Recent matches
FK Akhmat — 
Rodina 1:0
Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat 2:0FK Akhmat — 
FC Orenburg 0:1
Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Akhmat 3:2FK Akhmat — 
Baltika 0:0
Lokomotiv Moscow — Rubin Kazan 0:1Rubin Kazan — 
Fakel 1:0Rubin Kazan — 
Krylya Sovetov Samara 0:2
Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan 4:0Rubin Kazan — Dinamo Moscow 0:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions