The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Lokomotiv Moscow: 50% against 25%. Attack against defence: level, 1.31 and 1.26 expected goals a match. Lokomotiv Moscow are 1.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12.8 | −1.8 | 1.27 | 1.70 |
| Rubin Kazan | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12.2 | −0.2 | 0.83 | 1.36 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions