The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
CSKA Moscow are favourites: 69% to win against 14%. Attack against defence: CSKA Moscow should create more, 1.90 expected goals a match against 1.12. Read the table with care: CSKA Moscow have taken 4.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moscow | 15 | 12 | 9 | 9.2 | −0.2 | 0.94 | 2.07 |
| CSKA Moscow | 3 | 12 | 25 | 20.7 | +4.3 | 1.74 | 1.30 |
They have already met this season: CSKA Moscow 3:0 Rodina Moscow (2026-10-11).
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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