The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Zenit are favourites: 61% to win against 15%. Attack against defence: Zenit should create more, 1.36 expected goals a match against 0.96. Read the table with care: Zenit have taken 5.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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