Genoa — Venezia 1:0

Genoa

1:0

Venezia

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Venezia created more (1.66 xG against 0.78) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Genoa	1	0.78	+0.2	0.76
Venezia	0	1.66	−1.7	1.99

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
24'	Mikael Ellertsson	Genoa	0.01	Stephan El Shaarawy

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
47'	Antoine Hainaut	Venezia	0.56	off target, header
40'	Junior Messias	Genoa	0.40	off target
23'	John Yeboah	Venezia	0.37	saved

Shots: Genoa 7, Venezia 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Genoa 0.71, Venezia 0.39: a small edge for Genoa. In the second half xG was Genoa 0.08, Venezia 1.27: a clear edge for Venezia. The edge in chances passed from Genoa to Venezia. Venezia scored 0 from 1.66 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Genoa: +0.7 for the season (13 in the table). Venezia: −5.9 (19). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Inter — Fiorentina 2:1Atalanta — Frosinone 4:4Lecce — Juventus 0:2Udinese — AC Milan 0:2

All Serie A matches with xG →