Inter — Fiorentina 2:1

Inter

2:1

Fiorentina

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Inter was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Inter	2	2.75	−0.8	2.75
Fiorentina	1	0.28	+0.7	0.16

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
64'	Alejandro Jiménez	Fiorentina	0.02	Nicolo Fagioli
90'	Marcus Thuram	Inter	0.08	Andy Diouf
97'	Piotr Zielinski (penalty)	Inter	0.76

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
48'	Marcus Thuram	Inter	0.14	off target
92'	Matteo Lavelli	Inter	0.12	blocked
32'	Francesco Pio Esposito	Inter	0.11	off target

Shots: Inter 33, Fiorentina 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Inter 0.53, Fiorentina 0.11: a small edge for Inter. In the second half xG was Inter 2.22, Fiorentina 0.18: a big edge for Inter. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Inter: +2.0 for the season (2 in the table). Fiorentina: −5.4 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Atalanta — Frosinone 4:4Genoa — Venezia 1:0Lecce — Juventus 0:2Udinese — AC Milan 0:2

All Serie A matches with xG →