Genoa — Juventus 2:0

Genoa

2:0

Juventus

Serie A · 28 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score2:0

Home xG0.92Genoa

Away xG1.30Juventus

Expected points1.07 : 1.64

Who deserved it

Juventus created more (1.30 xG against 0.92) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Genoa	2	0.92	+1.1	1.07
Juventus	0	1.30	−1.3	1.64

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
11'	Kingsley Ehizibue	Genoa	0.04	Tommaso Baldanzi
27'	Tommaso Baldanzi	Genoa	0.10

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
91'	Nick Woltemade	Juventus	0.55	blocked, from a set piece
66'	Nick Woltemade	Juventus	0.14	off target
27'	Tommaso Baldanzi	Genoa	0.10	goal

Shots: Genoa 14, Juventus 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Genoa 0.65, Juventus 0.14: a small edge for Genoa. In the second half xG was Genoa 0.25, Juventus 1.20: a clear edge for Juventus. The edge in chances passed from Genoa to Juventus. Genoa scored 2 from 0.92 xG: more than they created. Juventus scored 0 from 1.30 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.