Pitch Radar

Venezia vs Inter: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 9 · 28 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win12%Venezia
Draw11%
Away win76%Inter
Expected points, home0.48

What to expect

Inter are favourites: 76% to win against 12%. Attack against defence: Inter should create more, 2.79 expected goals a match against 1.65. Venezia are 5.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Venezia20505.5−5.51.812.47
Inter251311.1+1.93.111.49

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →