The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Monza: 46% against 31%. Attack against defence: level, 1.65 and 1.63 expected goals a match. Monza are 4.7 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.