Monza — Napoli 1:4

Monza

1:4

Napoli

Serie A · 28 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:4

Home xG0.97Monza

Away xG2.49Napoli

Expected points0.55 : 2.28

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Napoli was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Monza	1	0.97	+0.0	0.55
Napoli	4	2.49	+1.5	2.28

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
9'	Rasmus Højlund	Napoli	0.12	Giovanni Di Lorenzo
42'	Gustavo Varela	Monza	0.54	Jay Robinson
47'	Matteo Politano	Napoli	0.08
61'	Rafa Marín	Napoli	0.37	Matteo Politano
66'	Kevin De Bruyne	Napoli	0.41	Noa Lang

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
42'	Gustavo Varela	Monza	0.54	goal, header
60'	Rasmus Højlund	Napoli	0.41	saved
66'	Kevin De Bruyne	Napoli	0.41	goal

Shots: Monza 12, Napoli 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Monza 0.78, Napoli 0.86: about even. In the second half xG was Monza 0.19, Napoli 1.63: a clear edge for Napoli. Napoli scored 4 from 2.49 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.