Pitch Radar

Parma vs Udinese: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 9 · 28 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win31%Parma
Draw26%
Away win43%Udinese
Expected points, home1.18

What to expect

A slight edge to Udinese: 43% against 31%. Attack against defence: Udinese should create more, 1.69 expected goals a match against 1.49.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Parma15543.4+0.60.851.96
Udinese13545.0−1.01.422.12

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →