Pitch Radar

Sassuolo vs Parma: match prediction

Sassuolo
VS
Parma
Serie A · Round 16 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win58%Sassuolo
Draw22%
Away win21%Parma
Expected points, home1.95

What to expect

Sassuolo are favourites: 58% to win against 21%. Attack against defence: Sassuolo should create more, 1.77 expected goals a match against 1.61. Sassuolo are 2.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Sassuolo1711810.1−2.11.372.33
Parma161187.2+0.80.892.16

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions