Pitch Radar

Torino vs Lazio: match prediction

Torino
VS
Lazio
Serie A · Round 13 · 28 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win32%Torino
Draw27%
Away win41%Lazio
Expected points, home1.23

What to expect

A slight edge to Lazio: 41% against 32%. Attack against defence: Lazio should create more, 1.59 expected goals a match against 1.30. Read the table with care: Lazio have taken 11.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Torino11111414.4−0.41.221.35
Lazio1112918.0+11.01.831.39

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions