Pitch Radar

Torino vs Udinese: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 6 · 11 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win43%Torino
Draw26%
Away win30%Udinese
Expected points, home1.56

What to expect

A slight edge to Torino: 43% against 30%. Attack against defence: level, 1.56 and 1.48 expected goals a match.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Torino14545.0−1.01.011.54
Udinese13545.0−1.01.422.12

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →