The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal — Leeds United | 2:1 | 2.32 : 1.20 | deserved |
| Aston Villa — Brentford | 2:2 | 1.84 : 1.28 | dropped points |
| Chelsea — Bournemouth | 5:1 | 1.37 : 1.68 | even by chances |
| Ipswich Town — Fulham | 2:1 | 1.26 : 1.78 | got lucky |
| Sunderland — Brighton | 0:2 | 0.87 : 1.64 | deserved |
| Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur | 1:1 | 0.87 : 2.03 | dropped points |
Arsenal — 2.32 xG. Opponent: Leeds United. Result: a win.
Tottenham Hotspur: 2.03 xG against the opponent's 0.87. Result: a draw.