The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg — Lokomotiv Moscow | 1:1 | 2.57 : 0.41 | dropped points |
| Rodina Moscow — Akron Tolyatti | 3:3 | 0.85 : 2.28 | dropped points |
| CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh | 1:0 | 0.98 : 0.49 | even by chances |
| Rostov — Rubin Kazan | 1:1 | 0.62 : 1.19 | dropped points |
| Krasnodar — Akhmat Grozny | 1:0 | 1.07 : 0.91 | even by chances |
| Zenit — Dynamo Moscow | 3:0 | 1.22 : 0.49 | deserved |
| Krylia Sovetov — Dynamo Makhachkala | 1:4 | 1.33 : 2.09 | deserved |
| Baltika Kaliningrad — Spartak Moscow | 1:2 | 0.56 : 0.94 | even by chances |
Orenburg — 2.57 xG. Opponent: Lokomotiv Moscow. Result: a draw.
Orenburg: 2.57 xG against the opponent's 0.41. Result: a draw.